Genk vs KV Mechelen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.5%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.1%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
20%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20%
14.4%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2011 |
GNK
2 - 1
MAC
50%
24%
26%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
CER
3 - 2
GNK
25%
26%
49%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2011 |
MAC
2 - 1
GNK
49%
24%
28%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
GNK
2 - 2
ZUL
68%
19%
13%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2011 |
LIE
0 - 0
GNK
23%
24%
53%
|
81 | 65 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
KV Mechelen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
LEU
1 - 2
KVM
45%
25%
30%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2011 |
KVM
2 - 1
LIE
54%
24%
22%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2011 |
AND
3 - 1
KVM
75%
17%
9%
|
69 | 86 | 17 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2011 |
KVM
2 - 1
STR
63%
22%
15%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2011 |
KVM
4 - 3
LIE
52%
24%
24%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |