Genk vs KV Mechelen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.4%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.3%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
23.3%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.8%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2009 |
GNK
0 - 2
AND
28%
26%
46%
|
75 | 87 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2009 |
CHA
3 - 0
GNK
32%
25%
43%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
GNK
0 - 1
KVK
62%
22%
16%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
CER
1 - 2
GNK
36%
25%
39%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2009 |
GNK
2 - 2
GEN
42%
25%
33%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
KV Mechelen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2009 |
KVM
3 - 0
LOK
48%
26%
25%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2009 |
3 - 1
KVM
52%
25%
24%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2009 |
KVM
2 - 1
CHA
48%
26%
26%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
SDL
4 - 1
KVM
70%
18%
12%
|
70 | 85 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
KVM
0 - 1
CER
44%
26%
30%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | -1 |