Genk vs KV Mechelen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.8%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.1%
2-0
12%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.1%
14%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2007 |
MON
1 - 1
GNK
28%
25%
48%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2007 |
GNK
1 - 1
AND
31%
26%
43%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2007 |
STR
1 - 2
GNK
19%
23%
58%
|
80 | 59 | 21 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2007 |
GNK
1 - 0
KVC
66%
21%
14%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2007 |
1 - 2
GNK
32%
25%
43%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
KV Mechelen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2007 |
KVM
2 - 2
DEN
41%
26%
33%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2007 |
ZUL
2 - 0
KVM
57%
23%
21%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2007 |
KVM
2 - 2
EXC
35%
28%
38%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2007 |
LOK
3 - 1
KVM
45%
26%
29%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2007 |
KVM
1 - 1
BRU
24%
27%
49%
|
63 | 82 | 19 | +1 |