Genk vs Maribor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.9%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.1%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.4%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.6%
12.4%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 1999 |
MAR
5 - 1
GNK
45%
23%
32%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1999 |
HAR
1 - 2
GNK
33%
26%
42%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1999 |
GNK
2 - 5
AND
39%
24%
37%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1999 |
LOM
0 - 3
GNK
22%
24%
54%
|
81 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1999 |
GNK
4 - 1
STR
72%
17%
11%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Maribor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 1999 |
DOM
1 - 4
MAR
41%
27%
33%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 1999 |
MAR
5 - 1
GNK
45%
23%
32%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 1999 |
MAR
2 - 0
GOR
57%
23%
20%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 May. 1999 |
NKM
0 - 2
MAR
47%
26%
28%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1999 |
MAR
3 - 0
RUD
70%
19%
11%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |