Genk vs KVC Westerlo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.4%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.2%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
22.3%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
16
1º
13º
1º
11
1º
7º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
16 | 57 |
1º
|
46% | |
|
2º
|
13 | 51 |
2º
|
22% | |
|
9º
|
10 | 51 |
3º
|
15% | |
|
4º
|
12 | 50 |
4º
|
13% | |
|
8º
|
10 | 48 |
5º
|
13% | |
|
11º
|
9 | 47 |
6º
|
11% | |
|
|
5º
|
11 | 46 |
7º
|
9.5% | |
|
12º
|
8 | 44 |
8º
|
7.5% | |
|
10º
|
10 | 40 |
9º
|
14.5% | |
|
15º
|
4 | 40 |
10º
|
9% | |
|
3º
|
12 | 39 |
11º
|
14% | |
|
7º
|
11 | 37 |
12º
|
13% | |
|
14º
|
6 | 33 |
13º
|
18.5% | |
|
6º
|
11 | 32 |
14º
|
22% | |
|
13º
|
7 | 27 |
15º
|
36% | |
|
16º
|
1 | 19 |
16º
|
68.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
93% | 50% |
|
Next round
|
7% | 47% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 3% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
GNK
2 - 0
FOR
69%
19%
13%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
BEE
3 - 4
GNK
17%
22%
62%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
GNK
3 - 2
BRU
46%
25%
30%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
LEU
3 - 1
GNK
28%
23%
49%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
GNK
0 - 0
SDL
61%
21%
18%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
KVC Westerlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
KVC
1 - 1
LEU
50%
23%
28%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
GEN
4 - 1
KVC
56%
22%
22%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
KVC
4 - 3
UNI
33%
24%
43%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
KVM
2 - 4
KVC
50%
23%
27%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
KVC
3 - 0
CER
39%
25%
37%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | +1 |