Genk vs Verbroedering Geel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.1%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
8%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
16.9%
9%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2006 |
GNK
5 - 1
MON
71%
19%
10%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2006 |
AND
1 - 4
GNK
63%
20%
17%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2006 |
GNK
1 - 0
KSK
71%
18%
10%
|
81 | 62 | 19 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2006 |
KSV
3 - 3
GNK
27%
25%
49%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2006 |
GNK
3 - 1
GEN
59%
23%
18%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Verbroedering Geel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2006 |
KFC
2 - 1
TOU
58%
25%
17%
|
61 | 47 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2006 |
CAP
3 - 0
KFC
27%
26%
47%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2006 |
KFC
1 - 1
STA
58%
25%
17%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2006 |
DIE
1 - 0
KFC
16%
24%
60%
|
63 | 45 | 18 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2006 |
KFC
1 - 0
WIM
65%
23%
13%
|
63 | 39 | 24 | 0 |