Genk vs Harelbeke analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.7%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.7%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.8%
3-0
11.6%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.8%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
14.3%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
14.3%
7%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 1999 |
AND
1 - 3
GNK
65%
19%
16%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1999 |
GNK
2 - 1
EEA
74%
16%
10%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1999 |
GNK
4 - 0
65%
19%
16%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1999 |
GNK
1 - 1
LOK
68%
18%
14%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1999 |
STR
0 - 5
GNK
27%
25%
48%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Harelbeke
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 1999 |
HAR
1 - 2
GEN
42%
25%
33%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1999 |
KVC
4 - 1
HAR
60%
22%
18%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 1999 |
HAR
5 - 2
KVM
21%
24%
55%
|
68 | 83 | 15 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 1999 |
HAR
3 - 0
KFC
69%
19%
12%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 1999 |
AND
2 - 0
HAR
80%
14%
6%
|
68 | 87 | 19 | -1 |