Genk vs Excelsior Mouscron analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.8%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.7%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
24.9%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2002 |
STR
0 - 1
GNK
28%
24%
48%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2002 |
GNK
2 - 0
MOL
77%
15%
9%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2002 |
SDL
2 - 0
GNK
45%
23%
32%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2002 |
GNK
3 - 2
CHA
78%
14%
8%
|
79 | 64 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2002 |
LOM
1 - 5
GNK
32%
24%
45%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Excelsior Mouscron
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2002 |
EXC
1 - 1
AND
36%
25%
40%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2002 |
RAA
1 - 0
EXC
23%
24%
53%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2002 |
EXC
5 - 1
ANT
73%
16%
11%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2002 |
KSK
0 - 1
EXC
16%
22%
62%
|
80 | 55 | 25 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2002 |
EXC
4 - 0
LOK
55%
22%
23%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | +1 |