Genk vs Excelsior Mouscron analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.1%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
32.5%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2001 |
GNK
1 - 1
LOM
61%
20%
19%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2001 |
GEN
2 - 1
GNK
56%
21%
23%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2001 |
HAR
1 - 2
GNK
32%
24%
44%
|
75 | 62 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2001 |
LOM
2 - 1
GNK
44%
23%
33%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2001 |
GNK
2 - 0
LIE
51%
23%
26%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Excelsior Mouscron
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2001 |
EXC
1 - 2
LIE
57%
22%
21%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2001 |
AND
3 - 3
EXC
70%
17%
13%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2001 |
EXC
3 - 2
ANT
65%
20%
16%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2001 |
CHA
1 - 3
EXC
31%
25%
44%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2001 |
EXC
0 - 0
KSK
76%
16%
8%
|
78 | 62 | 16 | 0 |