Genk vs Excelsior Mouscron analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.8%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.5%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.8%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.6%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
45%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.5%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 1996 |
LOM
0 - 0
GNK
66%
20%
14%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1996 |
GNK
1 - 1
EEA
38%
27%
35%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1996 |
KVM
0 - 0
GNK
77%
17%
6%
|
60 | 87 | 27 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 1996 |
GNK
1 - 4
CHA
39%
26%
35%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 1996 |
0 - 1
GNK
71%
18%
11%
|
60 | 74 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Excelsior Mouscron
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 1996 |
EXC
5 - 0
STR
70%
19%
11%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1996 |
LIE
1 - 0
EXC
47%
25%
28%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1996 |
EXC
1 - 0
HAR
68%
20%
12%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1996 |
GEN
2 - 4
EXC
41%
26%
33%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 1996 |
EXC
2 - 2
ANT
68%
20%
13%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |