Genk vs FCV Dender analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.7%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.7%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.5%
12.9%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
19
1º
13º
1º
11
2º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
19 | 57 |
1º
|
46% | |
|
2º
|
13 | 54 |
2º
|
20% | |
|
3º
|
13 | 49 |
3º
|
8.5% | |
|
4º
|
13 | 49 |
4º
|
11% | |
|
6º
|
13 | 49 |
5º
|
13% | |
|
12º
|
10 | 46 |
6º
|
10.5% | |
|
9º
|
11 | 46 |
7º
|
9.5% | |
|
8º
|
11 | 44 |
8º
|
11.5% | |
|
5º
|
13 | 40 |
9º
|
12.5% | |
|
11º
|
11 | 39 |
10º
|
10% | |
|
7º
|
12 | 38 |
11º
|
16.5% | |
|
15º
|
4 | 37 |
12º
|
10.5% | |
|
13º
|
9 | 35 |
13º
|
16.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
11 | 31 |
14º
|
21.5% | |
|
14º
|
8 | 30 |
15º
|
32% | |
|
16º
|
1 | 18 |
16º
|
82.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
91% | 3% |
|
Next round
|
9% | 34% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 63% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2024 |
AND
0 - 2
GNK
38%
25%
37%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
CER
2 - 3
GNK
34%
24%
42%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
GNK
1 - 0
KVC
55%
22%
22%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
GNK
2 - 0
FOR
69%
19%
13%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
BEE
3 - 4
GNK
17%
22%
62%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
FCV Dender
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2024 |
DEN
0 - 2
SDL
33%
26%
42%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
BEE
1 - 2
DEN
35%
27%
38%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
DEN
1 - 2
BRU
22%
23%
55%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
STR
3 - 3
DEN
50%
26%
25%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
DEN
4 - 1
KVK
40%
26%
34%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | +1 |