Genk vs Cercle Brugge analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.4%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.5%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.7%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.9%
12.7%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2007 |
GNK
1 - 2
SAR
61%
22%
17%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2007 |
RWD
3 - 1
GNK
22%
25%
53%
|
82 | 66 | 16 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2007 |
GNK
0 - 2
CHA
65%
21%
15%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2007 |
LOK
0 - 1
GNK
18%
22%
60%
|
82 | 67 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2007 |
GNK
3 - 2
EXC
68%
20%
12%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Cercle Brugge
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2007 |
BRU
3 - 3
CER
73%
18%
9%
|
66 | 82 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2007 |
CER
4 - 1
KVC
39%
28%
33%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2007 |
1 - 0
CER
61%
23%
16%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2007 |
CER
0 - 1
STR
51%
26%
23%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2007 |
MON
1 - 0
CER
52%
25%
23%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | -1 |