Q. Europa League 3ra Ronda Final
Global 4-2
Genk vs FC Aktobe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.6%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.9%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
18.6%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2012 |
GNK
3 - 3
CER
65%
21%
14%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2012 |
GEN
3 - 1
GNK
46%
23%
31%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2012 |
GNK
1 - 2
BRU
49%
24%
27%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
SDL
2 - 3
GNK
41%
25%
35%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2012 |
KVK
3 - 4
GNK
27%
24%
49%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
FC Aktobe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 2012 |
FCA
3 - 0
MIL
59%
22%
19%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2012 |
MIL
4 - 2
FCA
36%
25%
39%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2012 |
ORD
1 - 1
FCA
36%
27%
36%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2012 |
FCA
1 - 0
FTK
64%
22%
14%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Jul. 2012 |
FCA
4 - 1
TAR
65%
22%
13%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | +1 |