Genk vs AEK Athens analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.4%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
25.4%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2002 |
GNK
5 - 2
60%
20%
19%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2002 |
EXC
3 - 3
GNK
49%
23%
29%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2002 |
SPA
4 - 2
GNK
57%
22%
21%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2002 |
ANT
2 - 4
GNK
24%
24%
52%
|
79 | 64 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2002 |
GNK
2 - 0
SPA
49%
24%
28%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
AEK Athens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2002 |
AEK
1 - 0
PAN
57%
22%
21%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2002 |
AEK
3 - 1
GIA
83%
12%
5%
|
81 | 62 | 19 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2002 |
AEK
1 - 0
APO
54%
22%
24%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2002 |
AIG
1 - 1
AEK
17%
22%
61%
|
81 | 63 | 18 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2002 |
APO
2 - 3
AEK
50%
24%
27%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | -1 |