General Velásquez vs Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.7%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
13%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.4%
12.9%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+46%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
8º
14º
12º
31
7º
14º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
61 | 61 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
47 | 47 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
40 | 40 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
40 | 40 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
37 | 37 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 34 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 34 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
22 | 32 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 32 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
|
8º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 30 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
29 | 29 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 25 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
24 | 24 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
General Velásquez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
GVE
0 - 0
IBE
47%
26%
27%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
TRA
0 - 0
GVE
31%
27%
42%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2022 |
GVE
1 - 0
ROD
52%
25%
23%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2022 |
CON
1 - 2
GVE
23%
25%
52%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
SAN
1 - 1
GVE
47%
27%
26%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
CON
2 - 1
ROD
29%
26%
46%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
LAU
2 - 0
CON
69%
18%
12%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2022 |
CON
0 - 1
LIM
26%
26%
48%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2022 |
CON
1 - 2
GVE
23%
25%
52%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
VAL
1 - 0
CON
67%
20%
14%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | -1 |