Copa Chile 1/32
Global 2-1
General Velásquez vs CD Melipilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.7%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
21.4%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
General Velásquez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
FVC
1 - 1
GVE
51%
24%
25%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2017 |
EST
1 - 4
GVE
27%
26%
47%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2017 |
GVE
0 - 2
ACC
51%
25%
24%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
JOA
0 - 1
GVE
54%
22%
24%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2017 |
GVE
4 - 0
CHI
79%
14%
7%
|
55 | 33 | 22 | +1 |
Matches
CD Melipilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
CDM
2 - 3
CSD
42%
26%
32%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
NUB
1 - 1
CDM
55%
25%
20%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
CDM
3 - 0
COB
29%
26%
45%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | +2 |
| 02 Apr. 2018 |
USF
2 - 1
CDM
59%
24%
17%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2018 |
CDM
0 - 2
BAR
38%
26%
36%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | -2 |