Torneo Regional Federal Amateur 1/16
Global 3-1
General Paz Juniors vs Sarmiento Leones analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.9%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.5%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
26.2%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
General Paz Juniors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
SAR
1 - 1
GPJ
41%
25%
35%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
TIN
0 - 0
GPJ
17%
21%
62%
|
35 | 17 | 18 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
GPJ
2 - 0
TIN
73%
17%
11%
|
35 | 17 | 18 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
GPJ
0 - 0
CSB
54%
22%
24%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2023 |
TIR
0 - 0
GPJ
29%
24%
47%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Sarmiento Leones
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
SAR
1 - 1
GPJ
41%
25%
35%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
BAR
1 - 6
SAR
38%
24%
38%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
SAR
2 - 1
BAR
55%
22%
23%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
SAR
2 - 1
CUA
43%
24%
33%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 2023 |
SAR
3 - 0
AFV
77%
15%
8%
|
31 | 8 | 23 | 0 |