General Díaz vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.3%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.2%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.6%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.2%
37.5%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
7%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
General Díaz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2014 |
RÑU
1 - 1
GEN
47%
26%
28%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
GEN
1 - 2
LQE
41%
29%
30%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | -2 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
DEP
1 - 1
GEN
54%
24%
22%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2014 |
GEN
1 - 0
12O
56%
24%
19%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2014 |
LIB
6 - 0
GEN
55%
25%
20%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2014 |
LQE
1 - 1
NAC
40%
27%
33%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
NAC
1 - 0
12O
66%
22%
13%
|
77 | 62 | 15 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
SAN
2 - 1
NAC
29%
28%
44%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2014 |
NAC
2 - 1
RÑU
56%
25%
19%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
NAC
0 - 2
OLI
42%
27%
31%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |