General Díaz vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.5%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.9%
1-0
9%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.9%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
46.6%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
9%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
General Díaz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jun. 2014 |
RÑU
4 - 0
GEN
49%
26%
26%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2014 |
GEN
2 - 1
AME
44%
27%
29%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2014 |
LQE
0 - 0
GEN
52%
25%
23%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2014 |
GEN
2 - 3
SAN
49%
25%
25%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2014 |
GUA
2 - 0
GEN
67%
20%
13%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 2014 |
AME
1 - 1
NAC
35%
26%
40%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2014 |
DEP
2 - 1
NAC
32%
26%
42%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | -1 |
| 01 Jun. 2014 |
NAC
0 - 0
SAN
65%
21%
13%
|
79 | 63 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2014 |
SAN
0 - 2
NAC
25%
26%
50%
|
79 | 64 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2014 |
12O
1 - 1
NAC
20%
25%
55%
|
79 | 61 | 18 | 0 |