General Díaz vs Libertad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.4%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.6%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.3%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
48.3%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.6%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
General Díaz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun. 2014 |
DEP
1 - 0
GEN
54%
24%
22%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2014 |
GEN
2 - 0
NAC
27%
27%
47%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | +1 |
| 06 Jun. 2014 |
RÑU
4 - 0
GEN
49%
26%
26%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
| 31 May. 2014 |
GEN
2 - 1
AME
44%
27%
29%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2014 |
LQE
0 - 0
GEN
52%
25%
23%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 2014 |
NAC
1 - 1
LIB
40%
28%
33%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2014 |
LIB
0 - 0
AME
62%
23%
15%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2014 |
SAN
0 - 2
LIB
25%
26%
49%
|
79 | 64 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2014 |
LIB
1 - 0
12O
70%
20%
10%
|
79 | 61 | 18 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2014 |
CCP
4 - 0
LIB
50%
25%
25%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |