General Díaz vs Libertad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.8%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.1%
27%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
46.2%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.9%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
General Díaz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jun. 2013 |
GEN
1 - 1
LIB
27%
27%
46%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2013 |
CER
1 - 3
GEN
46%
26%
28%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2013 |
GEN
1 - 0
CAR
51%
26%
23%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Jun. 2013 |
CCP
3 - 2
GEN
68%
20%
12%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | -1 |
| 10 Jun. 2013 |
GEN
1 - 3
NAC
22%
24%
54%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jun. 2013 |
GEN
1 - 1
LIB
27%
27%
46%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2013 |
LIB
0 - 2
LQE
66%
22%
12%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | -1 |
| 21 Jun. 2013 |
OLI
2 - 1
LIB
49%
25%
26%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2013 |
LIB
2 - 1
DEP
61%
24%
16%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2013 |
LIB
2 - 1
AME
60%
24%
16%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | +1 |