General Díaz vs Guaraní analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.7%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.1%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
54.5%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.7%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
General Díaz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2015 |
GEN
2 - 2
NAC
40%
28%
32%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2015 |
OLI
1 - 1
GEN
57%
24%
19%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
AME
2 - 3
GEN
58%
23%
20%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2015 |
GEN
0 - 1
LQE
44%
28%
28%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2015 |
GEN
0 - 1
SAN
52%
26%
22%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
CCP
2 - 0
GUA
45%
24%
31%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
GUA
0 - 0
SPO
78%
15%
7%
|
79 | 62 | 17 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2015 |
SPC
1 - 1
GUA
26%
21%
53%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
GUA
3 - 1
DEP
65%
19%
15%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2015 |
GUA
2 - 0
RAC
53%
23%
24%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |