General Díaz vs Guaraní analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.7%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.8%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
38.1%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
General Díaz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2013 |
NAC
2 - 1
GEN
54%
24%
22%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2013 |
GEN
0 - 1
DEP
47%
27%
27%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
LIB
0 - 3
GEN
54%
26%
21%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
CAR
1 - 1
GEN
32%
27%
41%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
GEN
2 - 1
LQE
53%
26%
21%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2013 |
GUA
3 - 0
AME
60%
24%
17%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
RÑU
1 - 1
GUA
31%
27%
42%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
GUA
2 - 3
CCP
38%
27%
36%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
CER
1 - 4
GUA
22%
26%
52%
|
76 | 60 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
GUA
0 - 1
NAC
40%
26%
34%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |