General Díaz vs 12 de Octubre analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.4%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
20.3%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
General Díaz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2020 |
GUA
0 - 0
GEN
77%
16%
7%
|
63 | 79 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2020 |
GEN
2 - 1
SPO
44%
26%
30%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
LIB
5 - 1
GEN
74%
18%
9%
|
62 | 83 | 21 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
CCP
0 - 1
GEN
78%
15%
7%
|
62 | 81 | 19 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2020 |
GEN
1 - 1
GUA
30%
27%
43%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
12 de Octubre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2020 |
12O
0 - 2
GUA
30%
27%
43%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2020 |
12O
3 - 2
LQE
35%
26%
39%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | +2 |
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
RPA
0 - 2
12O
62%
22%
15%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2020 |
12O
0 - 2
NAC
32%
27%
41%
|
58 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2020 |
OLI
4 - 0
12O
84%
12%
4%
|
59 | 86 | 27 | -1 |