General Díaz vs Cerro Porteño analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.1%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.3%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.9%
23%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23%
61.8%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
14.7%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.3%
0-2
12.9%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.2%
0-3
7.5%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
10.2%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
General Díaz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2020 |
GUA
2 - 1
GEN
59%
23%
18%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2020 |
GEN
1 - 1
AME
29%
26%
45%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2020 |
LQE
4 - 1
GEN
55%
24%
21%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2020 |
GEN
2 - 1
RPA
43%
27%
30%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2020 |
NAC
3 - 0
GEN
57%
24%
20%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Cerro Porteño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2020 |
CCP
2 - 0
OLI
32%
24%
45%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2020 |
GUA
1 - 2
CCP
24%
26%
50%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2020 |
CCP
1 - 0
12O
78%
15%
7%
|
82 | 63 | 19 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2020 |
AME
0 - 1
CCP
25%
26%
49%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2020 |
CCP
1 - 0
GUA
53%
23%
25%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | +1 |