General Díaz vs Cerro Porteño analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.3%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.6%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.2%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
48.4%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.7%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
General Díaz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2016 |
DEP
3 - 0
GEN
44%
26%
30%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2016 |
GEN
2 - 0
RPA
50%
26%
25%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
GEN
2 - 2
GEN
44%
26%
30%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
RÑU
0 - 2
GEN
52%
25%
24%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
GEN
1 - 2
OLI
21%
25%
54%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Cerro Porteño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2016 |
IND
0 - 0
CCP
40%
27%
33%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
CCP
2 - 1
LIB
59%
22%
19%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2016 |
NAC
1 - 6
CCP
30%
27%
44%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2016 |
CCP
4 - 1
SFE
52%
24%
23%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2016 |
SFE
2 - 0
CCP
47%
27%
26%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | -1 |