General Caballero SC vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.3%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
30%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
General Caballero SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2016 |
AME
1 - 1
GEN
55%
23%
22%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2016 |
GEN
1 - 1
CCP
33%
26%
40%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2016 |
DEP
3 - 2
GEN
55%
24%
21%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
GEN
1 - 0
RPA
54%
24%
23%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | +2 |
| 28 Oct. 2016 |
GEN
0 - 1
LQE
37%
27%
37%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
NAC
3 - 1
RÑU
46%
26%
28%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
OLI
2 - 1
NAC
62%
21%
17%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2016 |
NAC
1 - 1
GUA
28%
25%
47%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2016 |
GEN
0 - 2
NAC
42%
27%
31%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
NAC
1 - 2
LIB
38%
27%
35%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | -1 |