General Caballero JLM vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.5%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
27.1%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
19
3º
12º
12º
22
9º
12º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
48 | 48 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 45 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
36 | 36 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 35 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
31 | 31 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
31 | 31 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 26 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
23 | 23 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
23 | 23 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
|
10º
|
22 | 22 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
21 | 21 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
19 | 19 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CONMEBOL Libertadores
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
General Caballero JLM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
TAC
1 - 1
JLM
41%
26%
33%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
AME
2 - 1
JLM
44%
26%
30%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
JLM
0 - 2
LIB
40%
27%
33%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
2DE
1 - 1
JLM
35%
27%
38%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
JLM
3 - 2
SPT
40%
27%
33%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2024 |
COR
4 - 0
NAC
75%
17%
8%
|
79 | 89 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
NAC
1 - 1
AME
41%
26%
33%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2024 |
NAC
2 - 3
ARG
26%
28%
46%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
CCP
1 - 0
NAC
49%
26%
25%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
NAC
0 - 1
TAC
48%
26%
26%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |