General Caballero JLM vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.6%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.9%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
35.4%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
3º
11º
9º
33
1º
8º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
51 | 51 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
41 | 41 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
38 | 38 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
33 | 33 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
33 | 33 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
31 | 31 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 30 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
27 | 27 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
24 | 24 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
17 | 17 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
17 | 17 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
15 | 15 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CONMEBOL Libertadores
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
General Caballero JLM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
LQE
1 - 1
JLM
42%
26%
32%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
JLM
2 - 0
RES
50%
26%
24%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
JLM
0 - 0
AME
46%
26%
28%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2022 |
12O
0 - 3
JLM
30%
26%
43%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2022 |
JLM
1 - 0
RES
46%
26%
28%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2023 |
HUA
2 - 1
NAC
27%
25%
48%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
GUA
1 - 3
NAC
34%
28%
38%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
OLI
1 - 1
NAC
51%
24%
24%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2022 |
NAC
0 - 2
AME
59%
22%
19%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
NAC
1 - 1
AME
57%
23%
20%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |