Belgrano Santa Rosa vs Tiro Federal Bahia Blanca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.9%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.2%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
24.9%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Belgrano Santa Rosa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2016 |
DFR
2 - 1
CGB
65%
20%
15%
|
48 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2016 |
CGB
1 - 1
FER
36%
27%
37%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2016 |
ALV
2 - 0
CGB
46%
25%
29%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | -2 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
TIR
3 - 4
CGB
38%
26%
36%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | +2 |
| 29 Mar. 2016 |
CGB
1 - 1
DFR
26%
28%
46%
|
47 | 59 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Tiro Federal Bahia Blanca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2016 |
TIR
1 - 4
DFR
25%
27%
47%
|
45 | 59 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2016 |
FER
1 - 0
TIR
55%
24%
21%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
ALV
2 - 1
TIR
54%
24%
22%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
TIR
3 - 4
CGB
38%
26%
36%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
DFR
3 - 0
TIR
68%
19%
13%
|
45 | 58 | 13 | +1 |