Genemuiden vs Willem II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
7.2%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
0.8%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.4%
1-0
2.4%
2-1
2.2%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
5.4%
13.5%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.5%
79.3%
Win probability
2.66
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
12.6%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
22%
0-3
11.1%
1-4
5%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
17.1%
0-4
7.4%
1-5
2.7%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
10.5%
0-5
3.9%
1-6
1.2%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
5.3%
0-6
1.7%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.2%
0-7
0.7%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.8%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genemuiden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
GEN
0 - 3
SPO
46%
25%
30%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
SPA
4 - 1
GEN
63%
21%
16%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
GEN
0 - 1
DOV
36%
26%
38%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
DVS
2 - 0
GEN
50%
25%
26%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
GEN
1 - 1
SVH
65%
19%
16%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
AJA
1 - 0
WIL
62%
21%
18%
|
82 | 89 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
WIL
0 - 0
FOR
59%
22%
19%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2024 |
ALM
0 - 1
WIL
25%
25%
51%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
WIL
0 - 2
PSV
22%
21%
56%
|
82 | 89 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
UTR
3 - 2
WIL
54%
23%
24%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |