Genemuiden vs Groningen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.3%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2%
1-0
3.1%
2-1
2.8%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.9%
16%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16%
74.7%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.7%
0-2
12.6%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.8%
0-3
10.1%
1-4
4.5%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15.4%
0-4
6.1%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
8.6%
0-5
3%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.9%
0-6
1.2%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.5%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genemuiden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2011 |
FLE
2 - 2
GEN
42%
24%
34%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2010 |
GEN
0 - 3
HHC
41%
26%
33%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2010 |
RIJ
2 - 1
GEN
63%
21%
16%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2010 |
GEN
0 - 2
IJS
31%
26%
44%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2010 |
CAP
3 - 0
GEN
49%
24%
27%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Groningen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2010 |
EXC
2 - 2
GRO
23%
23%
54%
|
78 | 63 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2010 |
GRO
2 - 0
AZA
31%
26%
44%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2010 |
GRO
4 - 1
VIT
58%
24%
18%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2010 |
RJC
1 - 0
GRO
38%
24%
38%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2010 |
GRO
2 - 0
FEY
35%
27%
39%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |