Genemuiden vs Excelsior .31 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.4%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.8%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
20.8%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genemuiden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
LIS
3 - 1
GEN
62%
19%
19%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
GEN
1 - 0
JOD
49%
23%
28%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
IJS
2 - 1
GEN
67%
18%
16%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
GVV
4 - 0
GEN
63%
20%
17%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
GEN
0 - 0
NOO
31%
24%
45%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Excelsior .31
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
EXC
0 - 0
BAR
26%
25%
50%
|
42 | 54 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
SCH
0 - 1
EXC
67%
19%
14%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
EXC
1 - 3
SPA
21%
22%
57%
|
42 | 55 | 13 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
CAP
1 - 0
EXC
65%
20%
15%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
EXC
0 - 6
KAT
22%
23%
55%
|
43 | 56 | 13 | -1 |