Genemuiden vs ARC Alphense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.7%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.1%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
21.5%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genemuiden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2011 |
LIS
5 - 0
GEN
42%
24%
34%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2011 |
GEN
2 - 3
GRO
9%
16%
75%
|
47 | 77 | 30 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2011 |
FLE
2 - 2
GEN
42%
24%
34%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2010 |
GEN
0 - 3
HHC
41%
26%
33%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2010 |
RIJ
2 - 1
GEN
63%
21%
16%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
ARC Alphense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2011 |
ARC
2 - 0
KAT
30%
24%
47%
|
40 | 49 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2011 |
ARC
1 - 1
BAR
25%
25%
50%
|
40 | 53 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2010 |
SPA
1 - 0
ARC
82%
12%
6%
|
40 | 57 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2010 |
HOE
1 - 0
ARC
53%
24%
23%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2010 |
ARC
1 - 3
LIS
40%
24%
36%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | -1 |