Gençlerbirliği SK vs Kocaelispor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.5%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
29.1%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gençlerbirliği SK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 1999 |
GEN
1 - 1
BEL
67%
20%
13%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 1999 |
DEN
1 - 3
GEN
47%
24%
29%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 1999 |
GEN
1 - 0
BJK
20%
23%
56%
|
68 | 85 | 17 | +1 |
| 29 May. 1999 |
GEN
2 - 3
IST
49%
25%
26%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 May. 1999 |
KOC
2 - 0
GEN
56%
24%
21%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Kocaelispor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 1999 |
ERZ
3 - 3
KOC
32%
28%
40%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 1999 |
FEN
1 - 1
KOC
74%
17%
10%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 1999 |
GOZ
0 - 0
KOC
23%
27%
50%
|
74 | 48 | 26 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 1999 |
MSV
0 - 0
KOC
73%
17%
10%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | +1 |
| 17 Jul. 1999 |
KOC
0 - 3
MSV
34%
26%
40%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | -1 |