Gençlerbirliği SK vs Fenerbahçe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.7%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.9%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.4%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
42.7%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gençlerbirliği SK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2004 |
ANK
1 - 0
GEN
33%
25%
42%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2004 |
AIG
1 - 0
GEN
34%
25%
41%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2004 |
GEN
2 - 0
DIY
67%
20%
13%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2004 |
TRA
3 - 1
GEN
56%
23%
21%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2004 |
RIJ
2 - 1
GEN
37%
26%
37%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Fenerbahçe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2004 |
FEN
3 - 1
MAL
77%
15%
8%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2004 |
FEN
1 - 0
SPA
60%
21%
19%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2004 |
SEB
1 - 4
FEN
17%
22%
61%
|
85 | 63 | 22 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2004 |
KAY
0 - 2
FEN
20%
22%
58%
|
84 | 64 | 20 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2004 |
IST
0 - 3
FEN
22%
24%
54%
|
84 | 69 | 15 | 0 |