Gemert vs WHC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.1%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.6%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
24.1%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gemert
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
DES
0 - 4
GEM
28%
24%
48%
|
43 | 28 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2009 |
GEM
1 - 2
UNA
69%
19%
12%
|
44 | 31 | 13 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
VEN
2 - 3
GEM
31%
25%
44%
|
43 | 32 | 11 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
GEM
5 - 2
MEE
68%
19%
13%
|
43 | 30 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2009 |
ACH
0 - 1
GEM
57%
22%
21%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
WHC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
BER
2 - 1
WHC
44%
25%
32%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2009 |
WHC
2 - 2
BEQ
44%
25%
31%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
EXC
5 - 4
WHC
44%
25%
31%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
WHC
4 - 3
GOA
61%
22%
17%
|
40 | 32 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2009 |
AFC
0 - 1
WHC
69%
18%
13%
|
38 | 50 | 12 | +2 |