Gelbison vs Siracusa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.8%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.8%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
2.5%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
7.6%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
19.8%
70.4%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
0-1
15.9%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.3%
0-2
15.4%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.9%
0-3
10%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
13%
0-4
4.9%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-48%
+75%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gelbison
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
GEL
0 - 0
REN
45%
24%
31%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
VIG
1 - 0
GEL
43%
27%
30%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2016 |
GEL
1 - 2
CAV
23%
25%
53%
|
34 | 44 | 10 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
LEO
0 - 0
GEL
53%
23%
25%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
GEL
1 - 2
ROC
53%
22%
25%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Siracusa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
SIR
2 - 0
NOT
81%
14%
5%
|
55 | 34 | 21 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
REG
2 - 2
SIR
19%
26%
55%
|
55 | 39 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
SIR
1 - 0
AGR
74%
17%
9%
|
55 | 38 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2016 |
PAL
1 - 2
SIR
12%
21%
67%
|
55 | 31 | 24 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
SIR
3 - 0
SCO
85%
12%
4%
|
55 | 22 | 33 | 0 |