Gelbison vs Roccella analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.8%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
25.6%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gelbison
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
MES
5 - 0
GEL
64%
20%
16%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
GEL
1 - 0
ACP
67%
20%
13%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
ASD
0 - 1
GEL
69%
17%
14%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
CCI
1 - 1
GEL
49%
22%
28%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2018 |
GEL
2 - 2
ACI
48%
25%
28%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Roccella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
ROC
0 - 0
ASD
26%
22%
53%
|
29 | 38 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
CCI
3 - 1
ROC
48%
22%
30%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | -2 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
ROC
1 - 0
ACI
48%
24%
28%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | +2 |
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
POR
2 - 1
ROC
45%
23%
33%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | -2 |
| 07 Jan. 2018 |
ROC
3 - 1
GEL
31%
22%
47%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | +3 |