Gelbison vs Roccella analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.1%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.8%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
24.9%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gelbison
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
SAR
0 - 0
GEL
54%
23%
23%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
GEL
3 - 0
RAA
27%
27%
46%
|
32 | 42 | 10 | +3 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
DTO
0 - 2
GEL
57%
23%
20%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | +2 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
NOT
0 - 0
GEL
53%
25%
22%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
GEL
0 - 2
REG
23%
25%
53%
|
32 | 41 | 9 | -2 |
Matches
Roccella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
ROC
0 - 0
NOT
40%
24%
37%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
REG
3 - 0
ROC
68%
20%
12%
|
32 | 42 | 10 | -1 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
ROC
1 - 1
AGR
38%
23%
38%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2016 |
PAL
0 - 1
ROC
47%
23%
30%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
SCO
2 - 2
ROC
27%
22%
51%
|
31 | 22 | 9 | 0 |