Gelbison vs Madrepietra Daunia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.1%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
21%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gelbison
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
POL
3 - 5
GEL
25%
23%
52%
|
33 | 20 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
GEL
1 - 2
AGR
52%
24%
23%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
AVH
1 - 0
GEL
47%
23%
30%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
GEL
2 - 2
ANZ
83%
13%
4%
|
35 | 11 | 24 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
PIC
0 - 1
GEL
53%
22%
25%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | +2 |
Matches
Madrepietra Daunia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
MDC
2 - 3
PIC
37%
23%
41%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
CSV
1 - 0
MDC
41%
22%
36%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | -2 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
BIS
3 - 3
MDC
66%
18%
16%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
MDC
3 - 1
NOC
15%
18%
67%
|
24 | 43 | 19 | +5 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
OLY
1 - 2
MDC
56%
21%
24%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | +2 |