Gelbison vs Gragnano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.7%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.6%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
33.7%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gelbison
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2015 |
NFR
6 - 0
GEL
66%
18%
16%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
GEL
2 - 2
USV
51%
26%
24%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
SIR
5 - 1
GEL
79%
15%
6%
|
33 | 55 | 22 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
GEL
0 - 0
MAR
54%
22%
24%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
REN
2 - 0
GEL
50%
24%
27%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Gragnano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2015 |
GRA
3 - 1
NOT
43%
23%
33%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
REG
1 - 0
GRA
70%
17%
12%
|
31 | 41 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
GRA
1 - 0
AGR
30%
23%
47%
|
29 | 38 | 9 | +2 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
PAL
0 - 0
GRA
58%
20%
22%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2015 |
GRA
4 - 0
VIG
41%
23%
36%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | +3 |