Gelbison vs Francavilla Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.1%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
28.1%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gelbison
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2016 |
SSE
0 - 0
GEL
36%
26%
39%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
GEL
2 - 1
SSM
56%
24%
20%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
TRA
1 - 0
GEL
44%
26%
30%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
GEL
0 - 0
FBC
53%
24%
23%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
CYN
0 - 4
GEL
16%
24%
60%
|
38 | 23 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Francavilla Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2016 |
FRA
2 - 2
CSV
77%
14%
9%
|
40 | 27 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2016 |
MDC
0 - 1
FRA
23%
23%
55%
|
39 | 23 | 16 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
FRA
1 - 0
PIC
69%
17%
14%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
AGR
0 - 1
FRA
38%
27%
36%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
FRA
2 - 2
BIS
51%
24%
25%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |