Gela vs Cosenza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.1%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.7%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
49.6%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.1%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2010 |
GEL
0 - 0
FCV
28%
28%
44%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2010 |
JUS
0 - 1
GEL
59%
24%
17%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | +2 |
| 10 Oct. 2010 |
GEL
2 - 1
USF
19%
26%
56%
|
41 | 60 | 19 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2010 |
FOL
1 - 4
GEL
72%
19%
9%
|
39 | 56 | 17 | +2 |
| 26 Sep. 2010 |
GEL
3 - 0
ASL
18%
25%
57%
|
36 | 51 | 15 | +3 |
Matches
Cosenza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2010 |
NUO
1 - 1
FCC
78%
15%
7%
|
56 | 30 | 26 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2010 |
NUO
1 - 0
FOL
41%
26%
33%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2010 |
NUO
2 - 1
TRA
70%
19%
12%
|
55 | 43 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2010 |
NOC
2 - 1
NUO
22%
26%
52%
|
55 | 40 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2010 |
NUO
1 - 2
BEN
32%
28%
41%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | -1 |