Gela vs Nocerina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.9%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.1%
2-0
5%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.2%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
38.9%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.6%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
ASD
1 - 0
GEL
42%
22%
36%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2018 |
GEL
1 - 1
MES
48%
23%
29%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
GEL
1 - 1
PAL
61%
20%
20%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
POR
1 - 3
GEL
26%
21%
53%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
CIT
3 - 4
GEL
41%
22%
37%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Nocerina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
NOC
0 - 0
PAL
65%
20%
15%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
USC
0 - 2
NOC
28%
23%
50%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
NOC
1 - 0
CIT
69%
18%
13%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
ACI
2 - 1
NOC
21%
24%
55%
|
39 | 28 | 11 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
NOC
1 - 1
LOC
83%
12%
6%
|
40 | 22 | 18 | -1 |