Gela vs Nocerina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
4%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.4%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
5%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16%
29.2%
Draw
0-0
12.9%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
29.2%
47.8%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
16.3%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25.8%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
14.2%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2011 |
SSB
0 - 0
GEL
55%
25%
21%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
GEL
0 - 0
TER
29%
30%
41%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
ATL
1 - 2
GEL
71%
18%
10%
|
43 | 56 | 13 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
GEL
1 - 0
SIR
28%
27%
45%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | +2 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
NUO
2 - 0
GEL
67%
20%
12%
|
42 | 53 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Nocerina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2011 |
NOC
3 - 1
FOL
48%
25%
27%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
USF
0 - 1
NOC
64%
22%
15%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
NOC
1 - 2
JUS
44%
28%
28%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
NOC
2 - 1
ASL
50%
26%
24%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
TAR
2 - 1
NOC
46%
29%
26%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | -1 |