Gela vs Lucchese Libertas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.7%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.1%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.6%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
47.5%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.4%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2005 |
SAS
2 - 1
GEL
61%
22%
17%
|
42 | 52 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2005 |
ASL
2 - 1
SSM
67%
20%
13%
|
55 | 40 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2005 |
ASL
1 - 2
PIA
25%
27%
48%
|
56 | 70 | 14 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2005 |
ASL
0 - 2
MAN
29%
27%
44%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2005 |
ACS
0 - 1
ASL
38%
28%
34%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2005 |
ASL
0 - 0
PIS
37%
29%
34%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |