Gela vs Igea Virtus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.8%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
4%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.7%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.3%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
48.3%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.7%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.2%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
CCI
3 - 1
GEL
25%
21%
54%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
POR
3 - 0
GEL
19%
19%
61%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | -2 |
| 22 Nov. 2017 |
GEL
1 - 1
USV
45%
26%
29%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
GEL
1 - 2
ACP
82%
12%
6%
|
38 | 23 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
PPI
2 - 3
GEL
8%
14%
79%
|
38 | 16 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Igea Virtus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
FCI
2 - 0
ACP
82%
12%
6%
|
40 | 24 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
FCI
0 - 1
USV
53%
24%
23%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
AEE
0 - 2
FCI
36%
25%
39%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
FCI
1 - 0
ROC
73%
16%
12%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
MES
1 - 0
FCI
36%
25%
39%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | -2 |