Gela vs Igea Virtus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.4%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.9%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
25%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
GRA
2 - 2
GEL
24%
24%
52%
|
42 | 32 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
GEL
0 - 0
GLA
78%
14%
8%
|
42 | 28 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
DTO
0 - 1
GEL
22%
26%
53%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
GEL
4 - 0
ASS
88%
8%
3%
|
42 | 13 | 29 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
POM
1 - 1
GEL
29%
26%
46%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Igea Virtus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
FCI
3 - 0
PAL
65%
18%
17%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
FCI
3 - 0
ASS
89%
8%
3%
|
39 | 12 | 27 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
GLA
1 - 4
FCI
28%
22%
50%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
FCI
2 - 0
CAV
22%
23%
55%
|
35 | 47 | 12 | +3 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
SAR
1 - 1
FCI
49%
22%
29%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | +1 |