Gela vs Chieti analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.1%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
10%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.6%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
23.1%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2006 |
FRO
0 - 0
GEL
68%
19%
13%
|
46 | 60 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2006 |
GEL
0 - 0
ACI
34%
28%
38%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2006 |
NAP
2 - 0
GEL
72%
19%
9%
|
46 | 65 | 19 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2006 |
GEL
0 - 0
SSM
43%
26%
32%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2006 |
GEL
1 - 1
ACS
31%
27%
42%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Chieti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2006 |
CHI
1 - 0
JUS
29%
29%
42%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2006 |
ASL
1 - 1
CHI
63%
24%
14%
|
43 | 56 | 13 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2006 |
CHI
1 - 2
SSM
34%
27%
39%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2006 |
PIS
0 - 0
CHI
57%
26%
17%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2006 |
CHI
1 - 1
MAS
36%
27%
37%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | 0 |